Policy design, impact assessment and evaluation

Strategic Foresight in Policy-Making: From Anticipating Surprise to Robust Strategy

This course equips you with the relevant knowledge about the most essential foresight tools, how these tools can be combined and what it takes to implement them. You will learn about explorative scenarios, horizon scanning, megatrends, Delphi analysis, and wild cards. More importantly, you will learn how to make foresight products useful for policy planning, by transforming foresights into strategic foresight.

About this course

This course equips you with the relevant knowledge about the most essential foresight tools, how these tools can be combined and what it takes to implement them.

You learn about explorative scenarios, horizon scanning, megatrends, Delphi analysis, and wild cards. More importantly, you learn how to make foresight products useful for policy planning, by transforming foresights into strategic foresight.

The course introduces many different foresight tools along the foresight process in the policy cycle and allows you to easily identify and discuss opportunities for practical application.

What you will learn in this course:

  • the nature, benefits, and limitations of strategic foresight
  • the entire foresight toolbox
  • the scenario methodology
  • how to use strategic foresight in policy planning and decision making

The two half-day course is led by an expert who has decades of practical experience in Strategic Foresight.

The course combines interactive presentations, practical examples, and group exercises to consolidate the concepts.

By the end of the course, you will:

  • Know the basic concepts of strategic foresight.
  • Have gained an overview of common methods and their interrelationships.
  • Be able to better assess the quality of foresight products.
  • Have an idea of what success factors are for project implementation in the field of foresight

This course is one of the courses we are offering in the area of Better Regulation.

Are you interested in taking a different course in the area of better Regulation, please click below:

Equality Mainstreaming: Disability and Gender Perspectives for Better Policies | Ex-post Regulatory Evaluations | Regulatory Impact Assessments

Public officials, civil servants and policy analysts who work in government or parliamentary institutions, in EU Member States or candidate countries, similar to the following:

  • ‘Better Regulation’ committees / initiatives
  • centres for research and analysis
  • bureaucracy reduction policies
  • budget offices
  • Regulatory impact assessments

Online Course
For this online course we make use of Zoom

Programme Organiser
Ms Eveline Hermens
Tel: +31 43 3296259
e.hermens@eipa.eu

Discounts
EIPA member fee
EIPA offers a discount to all civil servants working for one of EIPA’s supporting countries, and civil servants working for an EU institution, body or agency

Who are the supporting countries?
Civil servants coming from the following EIPA supporting countries are entitled to get the reduced fee: Austria, Belgium, Bulgaria, Cyprus, Czech Republic, Denmark, Finland, France, Germany, Greece, Hungary, Ireland, Italy, Lithuania, Luxembourg, Malta, the Netherlands, Norway, Poland, Portugal, Spain, Sweden.

For all other participants, the regular fee applies

Early bird discount
The early bird discount is not cumulative with other discounts or promo codes, except for the EIPA member fee.

Loyalty coupon
As a token of appreciation we offer all our participants a loyalty coupon for one of our future courses. The offer can be shared with colleagues and relevant networks. The coupon will expire one year after its release. This discount is not cumulative with other discounts, except for the EIPA member fee.

Confirmation
Confirmation of registration will be forwarded to participants on receipt of the completed online registration form.

Payment
Prior payment is a condition for participation.

Cancellation policy
For administrative reasons you will be charged € 50 for cancellations received within 7 days before the activity begins. There is no charge for qualified substitute participants.

EIPA reserves the right to cancel the activity up to 1 week before the starting date. In that case, registration fees received will be fully reimbursed.

A few days before the start of the course you will receive the log-in details for accessing the course materials. You can log in here.

Download the brochure

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Our experts

Project leader

Nikolaos Sarris

Evaluations and Impact Assessments

Programme

08.45Registration of participants
09.00Welcome and introduction to the course
Dr. Johannes Gabriel, Managing Director of Foresight Intelligence (www.foresightintelligence.de), Adjunct Professor at Johns Hopkins University’s SAIS in Bologna.
09.15Introduction to Foresight & Strategic Foresight
This session provides an introduction to foresight and strategic foresight. It presents the origins, uses, and limitations of foresights, as well as the difference between foresight and strategic foresight.
10.00Horizon Scanning & Megatrends
Participants learn about the essentials of horizon scanning. How is it done, who does it, and what is the output? What are trends and megatrends and what else can you get out of horizon scanning? By using a learning-by-doing approach participants are engaged in a horizon scanning exercise. After reflecting on brainstorming, research, and analytic techniques commonly used in a horizon scanning project, they are encouraged to think and discuss potential uses for horizon scanning in their jobs.
10:30Coffee break
10:45Horizon Scanning & Megatrends (Continued)
11:30Explorative Scenarios
Scenarios are very useful and versatile strategic foresight tools. This session, introduces their uses and limitations, and provides  an overview of the methodology guiding the scenario process. The scenario cross, cross-impact analysis, sensitivity analysis, and scenario writing are presented. At the end of the session, participants have the opportunity to critically review a case study  and discuss practical applications of the scenario approach.
13.00End of the day
08.45Opening of online platform
09.00Explorative Scenarios (Continued)
09.30Wild cards and Delphi Surveys
This session presents what a wild card is and how it can be used in a scenario analysis. It explores the difference between horizon scanning and a Delphi analysis and explains why expert Delphi surveys are not an adequate replacement for explorative scenarios. The session ends with an open discussion on the implementation of these foresight tools in practice, including their advantages and disadvantages.
10:30Coffee break
10:45Strategy Work
This session bridges horizon scanning, explorative scenarios, and other tools such as Delphi surveys or wild cards to strategy work. It presents how foresight products can inform strategic policy planning, how to deal with probability, how to systematically define opportunities and threats, and how to create strategic options. After a short introduction, participants  work in breakout groups and create strategic options based on a case study. The session ends  with a plenary exercise  on  how to create no-regret options and how to design robust strategy
12:30Wrap up and evaluation
Participants are invited to ask questions, not only regarding methodology, but also concerning their own foresight challenges.
13.00End of the course

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Strategic Foresight in Policy-Making: From Anticipating Surprise to Robust Strategy

Confirmed
15 Apr 2024 - 16 Apr 2024
Online
Register before: 11 Apr 2024

Simultaneous interpretation can be offered. Contact the programme organizer for more information and conditions.

 570 per attendee
 485 for EIPA members
Registration closed

Discount policy

EIPA offers a discount to all civil servants working for one of EIPA’s supporting countries, and civil servants working for an EU institution, body or agency.

Who are the supporting countries?

Civil servants coming from the following EIPA supporting countries are entitled to get the reduced fee: Austria, Belgium, Bulgaria, Cyprus, Czech Republic, Denmark, Finland, France, Germany, Greece, Hungary, Ireland, Italy, Lithuania, Luxembourg, Malta, the Netherlands, Norway, Poland, Portugal, Spain, Sweden.

For all other participants, the regular fee applies.

Early bird discount

For a limited number of training courses, EIPA offers an early bird discount.

For more information please contact us.

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Register before: 11 Apr 2024

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