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Policy design, impact assessment and evaluation
Strategic Foresight in Policy-Making: From Anticipating Surprise to Robust Strategy
This course equips you with the relevant knowledge about the most essential foresight tools, how these tools can be combined and what it takes to implement them. You learn about explorative scenarios, horizon scanning, megatrends, Delphi analysis, and wild cards. More importantly, you learn how to make foresight products useful for policy planning, by transforming foresights into strategic foresight.
This course equips you with the relevant knowledge about the most essential foresight tools, how these tools can be combined and what it takes to implement them.
You learn about explorative scenarios, horizon scanning, megatrends, Delphi analysis, and wild cards. More importantly, you learn how to make foresight products useful for policy planning, by transforming foresights into strategic foresight.
The course introduces many different foresight tools along the foresight process in the policy cycle and allows you to easily identify and discuss opportunities for practical application.
What you will learn in this course:
- the nature, benefits, and limitations of strategic foresight
- the entire foresight toolbox
- the scenario methodology
- how to use strategic foresight in policy planning and decision making
Course methodology
The two half-day course is led by an expert who has decades of practical experience in Strategic Foresight.
The course combines interactive presentations, practical examples, and group exercises to consolidate the concepts.
By the end of the course, you will:
- Know the basic concepts of strategic foresight.
- Have gained an overview of common methods and their interrelationships.
- Be able to better assess the quality of foresight products.
- Have an idea of what success factors are for project implementation in the field of foresight
You will be given the slides, as well as additional learning material and online resources, to help you apply your new knowledge and skills to your work.
This course on Strategic Foresight in Policy-Making is one of the courses we are offering in the area of Better Regulation.
Are you also interested in taking a different course in this area? Please click below:
Regulatory Impact Assessments | Ex-Post Regulatory Evaluations
Public officials, civil servants and policy analysts who work in government or parliamentary institutions, in EU Member States or candidate countries, similar to the following:
- ‘Better Regulation’ committees / initiatives
- centres for research and analysis
- bureaucracy reduction policies
- budget offices
- Regulatory impact assessments
Project number: 2520301
Online Course
For this online course we make use of Zoom
Senior Project Officer
Ms Eveline Hermens
Tel: +31 43 3296259
e.hermens@eipa.eu
Discounts
EIPA member fee
EIPA offers a discount to all civil servants working for one of EIPA’s supporting countries, and civil servants working for an EU institution, body or agency
Who are the supporting countries?
Civil servants coming from the following EIPA supporting countries are entitled to get the reduced fee: Austria, Belgium, Bulgaria, Cyprus, Denmark, Finland, France, Germany, Greece, Hungary, Ireland, Italy, Luxembourg, Malta, the Netherlands, Norway, Poland, Portugal, Romania, Spain, Sweden.
For all other participants, the regular fee applies
Early bird discount
The early bird discount is not cumulative with other discounts or promo codes, except for the EIPA member fee.
Loyalty coupon
As a token of appreciation we offer all our participants a loyalty coupon for one of our future courses. The offer can be shared with colleagues and relevant networks. The coupon will expire one year after its release. This discount is not cumulative with other discounts, except for the EIPA member fee.
Confirmation
Confirmation of registration will be forwarded to participants on receipt of the completed online registration form.
Payment
Prior payment is a condition for participation.
Cancellation policy
For administrative reasons you will be charged € 50 for cancellations received within 7 days before the activity begins. There is no charge for qualified substitute participants.
EIPA reserves the right to cancel the activity up to 1 week before the starting date. In that case, registration fees received will be fully reimbursed.
A few days before the start of the course you will receive the log-in details for accessing the course materials. You can log in here.
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Our experts
Programme
| 08.45 | Opening of the online platform and registration of participants |
| 09.00 | Welcome and introduction to the course Dr. Johannes Gabriel, Managing Director of Foresight Intelligence (www.foresightintelligence.de), Adjunct Professor at Johns Hopkins University’s SAIS in Bologna. |
| 09.15 | Introduction to Foresight & Strategic Foresight This session provides an introduction to foresight and strategic foresight. It presents the origins, uses, and limitations of foresights, as well as the difference between foresight and strategic foresight. |
| 10.00 | Horizon Scanning & Megatrends Participants learn about the essentials of horizon scanning. How is it done, who does it, and what is the output? What are trends and megatrends and what else can you get out of horizon scanning? By using a learning-by-doing approach participants are engaged in a horizon scanning exercise. After reflecting on brainstorming, research, and analytic techniques commonly used in a horizon scanning project, they are encouraged to think and discuss potential uses for horizon scanning in their jobs. |
| 10:30 | Coffee break |
| 10:45 | Horizon Scanning & Megatrends (Continued) |
| 11:30 | Explorative Scenarios Scenarios are very useful and versatile strategic foresight tools. This session, introduces their uses and limitations, and provides an overview of the methodology guiding the scenario process. The scenario cross, cross-impact analysis, sensitivity analysis, and scenario writing are presented. At the end of the session, participants have the opportunity to critically review a case study and discuss practical applications of the scenario approach. |
| 13.00 | End of the day |
| 08.45 | Opening of the online platform and registration of participants |
| 09.00 | Explorative Scenarios (Continued) |
| 09.30 | Wild cards and Delphi Surveys This session presents what a wild card is and how it can be used in a scenario analysis. It explores the difference between horizon scanning and a Delphi analysis and explains why expert Delphi surveys are not an adequate replacement for explorative scenarios. The session ends with an open discussion on the implementation of these foresight tools in practice, including their advantages and disadvantages. |
| 10:30 | Coffee break |
| 10:45 | Strategy Work This session bridges horizon scanning, explorative scenarios, and other tools such as Delphi surveys or wild cards to strategy work. It presents how foresight products can inform strategic policy planning, how to deal with probability, how to systematically define opportunities and threats, and how to create strategic options. After a short introduction, participants work in breakout groups and create strategic options based on a case study. The session ends with a plenary exercise on how to create no-regret options and how to design robust strategy |
| 12:30 | Wrap up and evaluation Participants are invited to ask questions, not only regarding methodology, but also concerning their own foresight challenges. |
| 13.00 | End of the course |